Tom’s Betaminic Lay System
*P/L based on Betfair closing odds. (2024/10/22- 2023/11/7)
This system is based on laying picks from a loss-making trend researched on the Betaminic database with their Betamin Builder tool. The idea is not to bear the bookies, but to find a trend that is especially negative and to try and copy the bookmaker by laying those picks and piggybacking on the losing trend. In effect, we are trying to be the bookie.
Betaminic themselves do not really encourage the use of their site for lay strategies, but I think it is an area that is worth researching. I know other veteran Betaminic users are making profit with lay strategies, and my first efforts with lay strategies have been going well. I share my best strategy here.
This is a LAY strategy, so you will need to use a betting exchange to lay these picks,
It still uses Whitaker staking, but for lay bets, the loss rate becomes the “win” rate for use that we use to calculate the liability we should risk on each bet. The excel file shows the lay liability amounts for manual bettors to use.
You can recreate this lay strategy in your private strategies are by copying the filters below.
(In principle, only back strategies can be shared on the public strategies page, so you need to make this one in your private strategies area.)
*P/L based on Betfair closing odds. (2024/10/22- 2023/11/7)
I included all leagues with losses of -5% yield or worse.
Lay Betting with Betaminic Strategies
Note the difference between Pinnacle Back Odds and Betfair Lay Odds
- Pinnacle closing odds are not the prices we lay at
- We get Betfair closing lay odds minus commission
- Early research suggests average 5% difference in prices.
My strategy has -9.25% ROI. Betfair lay odds are +5.27% higher than Pinnacle closing back odds average. So there is a 4% margin left. 2% of the profit will be taken by Betfair.
3.92% is the hypothetical lay ROI I am aiming for.
I choose leagues with -5% ROI or worse. And I look for strategies with: smooth downward trends and losses nearly every month
1 | Lay System | Betaminic strategy page TippingSports account (3rd party verification) My YouTube video demonstration My BSG website explanation page | https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1308246 https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/9890 |
Example for level stakes
Bank: 100-unit bank
Bets: Lay the selection at current odds close to kick off.
Target Profit: New strategy and lay method, so the average profit is not known yet. First month has been very strong with the bank doubling.
Drawdown: New strategy and lay method, so the drawdown is not known yet. Estimated Potential Maximum Drawdown according to ELSx4.
Exit point: When 100-unit bank is gone or when the 1,000-bet mark is reached.
Cost: From €111 p/m with Betamin Builder picks if you buy the 2,000 pick pack or €189 per month with the 100 pick pack. (Average of 189 picks per month)
It is also possible to follow this strategy via TippingSports or SigaTrader with a monthly subscription.
bsg16LaySys costs €132 per month to follow with a 12-month subscription or €189 for a 1-month subscription. Payments are via PayPal, Skirll or bank transfer. Please email tom.hudson@betaminic.com if you want to subscribe.
1 month subscription – €189
3 month subscription – €510 (10% discount: €170 per month)
6 month subscription – €907 (20% discount: €151 per month)
12 month subscription – €1,587 (30% discount: €132 per month)