Super Short Summary of this newsletter:
1 Betting System results +16% increase on the 1k bank in the last month (should have been +114%), but -£28 after costs
2 InPlayTrading Bots. Is the IPT data feed still worth it?
3 HedgerPro Horseracing Database for backtesting and BFBM bots. Use “HPBSG” code for 5% discount at checkout.
4 Is Whitaker Staking really the best? Detailed staking analysis graphs of our betting system results.
5 Changes to Bot Set and BSG System. Just these changes and NO more this month. I promise.
6 Betaminic and BSG Draw Strategy List
7 PC Performance – I upgraded my VPS from 4BG to 8GB and it is working much smoother now.
8 Detailed results and screenshots
9 Support
1 Betting System results +16% increase on the 1k bank in the last month (should have been +114%), but -£28 after costs
It was a winning period for the betting systems this month, especially with Whitaker NLC staking, but fiddling with bot sets again led to a feeling that it was a poor month that could have been much, much better. A 2k bank would have ended with profit, but the 1k bank was not enough for the 16% profit to cover costs. I know I said I am in the capital building phase, but I will use a 2k bank from this month again.
And yes, I am going to change my bot set again, but going back to a simpler style set, just Whitaker NLC staking with a 2k bank.
+£164 gross profit on 1k bank, –£28 net profit after costs from a 1k bank.
System performance
It makes for painful viewing but simple Whitaker NLC staking would have made this month a double-the-bank month.
Next month I will stick to that and try to fiddle with something else, like IPT Pressure Index bots or horse racing bots…
For Comparison Betaminic’s recommended x9 & x18 sets from their “Best Strategies for 2025” article.
It is good to see the x34 set doing so well, and all the sets had a good month.
I have made some changes to my bot set and the BSG Draw System which I explain in section 2.
Subscribers to my BFBM Support service have already received the new bot sets.
If you are not a subscriber but are following these systems with your own bot sets, please read the section and make changes as you see fit.
The plan for each separate system is to run the main betting bots until they hit 10k or -2k.
2 InPlayTrading Bots Is the IPT data feed still worth it?
BFBM had an update a while ago that had even more in play statistics available as standard.
This raises the question, do we still need the IPT data feed to fill in the gaps for in play data?
I ran a test to see which feed had more in play data.
Out of 291 matches, IPT had in play data for 252 of those matches but the BFBM standard feed only had 221 matches.
So the IPT data feed still does cover more matches than the BFBM standard data feed.
(The tracker bot placed in play bets if the data feed showed 1 dangerous attack or more, which would be achieved by any match with an in play data feed.)
At the moment the IPT data feed costs £26 per month with a 6-month subscription.
I mainly used it to fill the gaps of in play statistics that BFBM sometimes has.
I also run some bots that use their unique Pressure Indexes.
IPT’s in play data feed has 3 pressure indexes.
BFBM’s in play data feed has 2 pressure indexes. Their data feed comes from a company called SportMonks.
IPT In Play Trading Pressure Index is calculated as follows:
This information is direct from IPT. I asked them myself.
Pressure index 1 = | (number of shots on target + number of shots off target in last 10 minutes) x 10 + 1 point for each 5% of possession In the last 10 minutes
(Highlighted red in browser scanner when home+ away PI1 combined is 70 or more) |
Pressure index 2 = | Number of dangerous attacks in the last 10 minutes (1 point each) + 1 point to each team if there were no corners in the last 8 minutes. (+2 points to combined total)
(Highlighted blue in browser scanner when A) home + away PI2 combined is 15 or more OR B) between 11-14, and has been at least 11 for the last 8 minutes.) |
Pressure index 3 = | Number of dangerous attacks in the last 5 minutes (1 point each)
(Highlighted green in browser scanner when 10 or more) |
When I asked BFBM how SportMonks’ Pressure Index is calculated, I got this answer.
Pressure Index 1 & 2: The pressure index values are calculated as below:
Pressure index 1 = | (number of shots on target + number of shots off target in last 10 minutes) x 10 + possession time / 5 |
Pressure index 2 = | number of dangerous attacks in last 10 minutes + 1 point to each team if there were no corners in the last 8 minutes. |
But this seems similar to IPT and also it does not seem to match the description on the SportMonks website. But they assure me that the information is from a source close to SportMonks.
Which says:
“The Pressure Index is calculated using a combination of statistical factors that affect a team’s pressure level. Each statistic is weighted to reflect its relative importance. For instance, receiving a red card reduces the team’s pressure, while increasing possession time has the opposite effect. This ever-changing score accurately represents the intensity with which one team applies pressure to the other throughout the game.
The factors taken into account include:
Attacks
The offensive performance of a team, including the number of dangerous attacks, shots on target, shots off target and scoring opportunities.
Ball Possession
The amount of time a team spends in possession of the ball, indicates their control and dominance on the field.
Shots
The number of shots attempted by a team, reflecting their offensive intent and pressure on the opposing team’s defence.
And more!
And a plethora of other advanced statistics and insights to provide a comprehensive analysis of team performance and game dynamics!”
The attacks, ball possession and shots part matches the formula above, but I am not sure about the “red card” and “plethora of other advanced statistics”. Is that just marketing fluff?
When there is doubt, the best way is to just run some tests!
So I made some in-play bots with exactly the same Pressure Index settings but each using the BFBM or IPT data feed.
For each bot idea I made 3 bots
0x.1 BFBM data feed Pressure Index 1,2
0x.2 IPT data feed Pressure Index 1,2
0x.3 IPT data feed Pressure Index 1,2,3
In all the cases, IPT got triggered more than the BFBM feed.
Bot 1 2 BFBM vs 12 IPT matches
Bot 2 2 BFBM vs 11 IPT matches
Bot 3 2 BFBM vs 20 IPT matches
Bot 4 37 BFBM vs 41 IPT matches
Bot 5 35 BFBM vs 39 IPT matches
Bot 6 64 BFBM vs 73 IPT matches
My conclusion from this is that the two data feeds have different calculations for their pressure index.
They may even have different statistics for the same game. It depends on how they get their data.
If you are interested in in-play bots, then I would recommend running your ideas using both feeds in case your bot idea works better with one of them.
In the above bots, the bot that backs a goal after a cold period of little game action seemed to do the best. This is another Against the Trend style of bot where the market overbacks a certain outcome which pushes the other selections into value. That may be happening here or it might just be luck. I will leave the bots going to find out.
If you bought an IPT subscription through my link or if you are my BSG-BFBM Support Service subscriber, then I will give you these bots free if you email and request them.
If you do have an IPT subscription, don’t forget that you can also access their browser based tool that is good for getting ideas for inplay bets, either manual or turning them into bot settings.
They also send emails highlighting matches that they recommend total goals based bets on.
InPlayTrading also have a PreMatchTrading service that I have not tried yet, but their software “uses prices in liquid markets and calculates relevant prices in secondary markets thus allowing users to spot mispriced events and profit from trading them before the game has started. PMT is a football markets model based on probability theory and statistics. It is used on the trading exchanges like Betfair/Betdaq.”
So it sounds like they are looking for value in secondary markets, kind of like how we found 4-5% value in the under 0.5 goals market for the BSG draws system event though the core trend was a 2% ROI in the Match Odds full time draw.
I need to fiddle with something on BFBM instead of my main Betaminic/BSG Draw bots, so I am having another go with IPT bots.
I have tried to make some of their recommended strategies (GoalWatch and ThreeLays) into BFBM bots but without much success.
Some other tests are showing green though. I will have to run SportMonks vs IPT tests.
Again, if you bought an IPT subscription through my link or if you are my BSG-BFBM Support Service subscriber, then I will give you these bots free if you email and request them.
As I said, I need to fiddle with something on BFBM instead of my main Betaminic/BSG Draw bots, and I am also giving some horse racing bots a try again.
A user I spoke to on our Reddit group said he had great results with value horse racing strategies researched in the same way we do the Betaminic football strategies, but backtesting with historical odds and statistics.
I had a look for some different options.
There are quite a few different services out there, and I have settled on giving HedgerPro a try out for 12 months. Mainly because they answered my questions quickly when I emailed them, it works with BFBM, they are already active on our Reddit community and their pricing is less than half price compared to some of the other options. (Lightspeed Stats £500 per year vs HedgerPro £228 per year with 5% off code “HPBSG” when you buy.)
I don’t know much about horseracing so I did not want to go for any expensive options just yet.
I tried HedgerPro and I got a bit of the feeling I had when I first tried Betaminic. Enter some filters and then boom, you see if that strategy made profit historically AND you can do lay backtesting too!
I am still in the very, very first steps with it, but I wanted to share my progress.
The tool looks like this. Filters on the left, charts in the middle and results on the right.
The above results suggest 89 points profit from my simple lay strategy of 206,320 bets since Feb 2021 with a yield of 1.3%.
Just playing with things, but nice to see those graphs and results. I can feel the fun of statistics again.
The strike rate of 90% will have recovery bettors getting tempted, but please, never use recover staking!
Early things I can tell from it are:
You can do back or lay backtesting.
It shows you the full backtesting results and the most recent results from the last 6m/12m depending on what you select. In the above screenshot, the results have 2 columns, one for 4 years and the other for the last 12 months which is the green highlighted area on the chart. HedgerPro calls this green bit the “anti-backfit” period so that you can see if the trend worked for the past x number of months. This is a handy feature that I want to ask Betaminic for, too.
It has a lot of horse racing statistic filters I will need to read the manual, ask Ryan or google more about to understand. They even an AI “Guide bot” to answers questions from the manual.
There are 14 bots ready to go for BFBM. I will be trying them.
Ryan has kindly given us a discount on the HedgerPro subscription.
You can get an extra 5% off the HedgerPro price if you use this code “HPBSG” at checkout.
Another reason I am putting this information in this email is the prices are due to go up soon, but if you subscribe now, then your price is locked in at that rate.
4 Is Whitaker Staking really the best?
Some people have been having their doubts about Whitaker staking, and that is fine. The level stakes bots have been doing better sometimes, but this is just because they had a run of high odds winners, or Whitaker Staking had a run of low odds losers. This can make Whitaker staking look wrong in the short term.
I stick with Whitaker staking because my staking analysis often comes up with it as the winner long term. LC has higher peaks an NLC does well with inconsistent bumpy periods.
Let me show you analysis of the various systems and data sets I have so you can see what I see.
I have taken the Betfair Exchange closing odds, 3rd party verified results from TippingSports for staking analysis.
System | Dates of Data | Bet Volume | Level Stakes Unit Profit | Whitaker NLC Points Profit |
Betaminic Back x34 System 2025 | 2025/1/18 – 2025/03/02 | 567 bets | 7 | 15 |
Betaminic Low Drawdown x9 System 2025 | 2025/2/4 – 2025/03/06 | 70 bets | 6 | 21 |
Betaminic Low Drawdown x9 System 2024 | 2024/6/1 – 2025/02/03 | 614 bets | -23 | -16 |
BSG1 FT Draw A1 Opposite Odds | 2023/11/17 – 2025/03/02 | 1,890 bets | 102 | 119 |
BSG1 FT Draw A2 Current Odds | 2023/11/17 – 2025/03/02 | 5,660 bets | -101 | -106 |
BSG1 FT 0-0 A6 | 2024/9/3 – 2025/03/02 | 2,505 bets | 185 | 77 |
BSG2 FT 0-0 A6 | 2024/9/23 – 2025/03/02 | 3,114 bets | 101 | 37 |
One thing to note with these simple comparisons of level stakes and WNLC is that level takes does not take into account how much it could be betting of its bank based on the drawdowns or win rate of the strategy. So it inefficient for low odds systems and dangerously aggressive for high odds systems.
For example, the low drawdowns strategies could use 50 or 30 units banks, not 100 unit banks. Also. The BSG1 0-0 strategy needs a 200 unit bank and the BSG2 0-0 strategy needs a 300 unit bank. Whitaker NLC, however, takes into account the implied win rates of each bet and adjusts the stake size accordingly. So I think Whitaker NLC is still better than Level Stakes.
In the following staking analysis, I have compared
1 Unit Level staking NLC and LC% (i.e. 1% percentage staking)
Whitaker staking NLC and LC%
Target Profit staking NLC and LC%
MDD based unit bank Staking NLC and LC% (For example a system with a historical Maximum Drawdown of -22 could have a MDD bank of x1.5 or x2 its MDD. I have chosen to use x1.5 MDD bank. So for a -22 MDD system then its MDD bank would be 33. I have rounded these down or up to easy to compare numbers. The MDD bank is what I would use if I were using level stakes, since a blanket 100 unit bank for any system is inefficient, especially if it has especially high or low drawdowns.)
When looking at these results, try to think of which staking plan you would use going forward, and what is that based on? we cannot base it on the results since we don’t know the results in advance.
I think you can use one staking plan selection method for Betaminic strategies and a different on for BSG draw strategies, because with Betaminic strategies we do know the MDD from backtesting, but with the BSG draw strategies we are not completely sure and are gathering data as we go.
Betaminic Back x34 System 2025
1 Unit Stakes | 100 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 1 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/1000 | 1% Staking | 100 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 1 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/1000 | |
Final Total | 7.00 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 8.00 | 2.00 |
High | 19.98 | 19.98 | 15.50 | 38.50 | 18.10 | 21.15 | 15.16 | 34.73 |
Low | -14.97 | -14.97 | -7.42 | -19.97 | -17.24 | -12.27 | -7.77 | -21.49 |
https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/10018
The x34 strategies I chose from Betaminic have had a bumpy ride so far, with a good run just recently.
Looking at the above chart, we see that Whitaker NLC and LC% staking got the highest highs and lows out of the 6 staking plans.
Whitaker LC% finished lower than Whitaker NLC because it had been betting larger stakes after the winning run. This is a common issue with percentage staking LC methods, but if we don’t use LC staking, then when do we increase stakes?
One user strongly recommends me to run WNLC fand then update the bank each week or each month manually in order to avoid the short term losses that we see with LC%. But my other staking research shows that it is precisely the nature of LC% staking that would catch a lucky positive run and get x20 on the bank as seen in the 2024 x23 strategy set analysis below.
We then need to ask ourselves, are we going for a slower pace of bank increase with Whitaker NLC staking and manual increase/decreases, or do we want to go for the split bank of NLC and LC% as we have done so far?
Betaminic Back x23 System 2024
1 Unit Stakes | 100 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 2 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/1000 | 1% Staking | 100 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 2 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/1000 | |
Final Total | 170 | 340 | 248 | 270 | 238 | 152 | 427 | 379 |
High | 227.82 | 455.64 | 356.58 | 392.32 | 534.29 | 179.15 | 1850.39 | 2087.83 |
Low | -1.00 | -2.00 | -1.94 | -2.46 | -1.00 | -2.00 | -1.94 | -2.46 |
I had been hoping to catch a wave of profit and reach x5 on the bank like with the 2024 x23 set that reached x20 of the bank with Whitaker LC%. But after another disappointing month, I am actually going to go for just NLC for a few months to try and make some consistent profit from strategies that are working.
You can see the graph above and what I was aiming for, but next month I just want some solid WNLC profit without the WLC% lottery ticket.
Betaminic Low Drawdown x9 System 2025
1 Unit Stakes | 30 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 2 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/1000 | 1% Staking | 30 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 2 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/1000 | |
Final Total | 6.00 | 21.00 | 20.00 | 21.00 | 6.00 | 21.00 | 20.00 | 20.00 |
High | 7.57 | 25.25 | 20.73 | 22.11 | 7.54 | 23.66 | 20.99 | 22.11 |
Low | -2.19 | -7.31 | -3.63 | -4.61 | -2.31 | -7.08 | -3.60 | -5.55 |
The 2025 low drawdown set only has 70 bets registered on TippingSports so far from Feb 4th.
The 30 unit MDD bank and WNLC/WLC% has done best so far. The 30 unit MDD bank is based on the Betamin Builder backtested -22 MDD.
When we know the drawdown, then using such a manually calculated level stakes bank can work well too, but when we don’t know the MDD then Whitaker Staking estimates the expected drawdown of each bet based on its odds implied win rate.
Betaminic Low Drawdown x9 System 2025 (Jun 2024 - Jan 2025)
1 Unit Stakes | 50 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 2 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/1000 | 1% Staking | 50 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 2 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/1000 | |
Final Total | -23.00 | -46.00 | 6.00 | -16.00 | -23.00 | -6.00 | -12.00 | -29.00 |
High | 4.86 | 9.73 | 53.58 | 29.44 | 4.43 | 12.28 | 61.63 | 25.93 |
Low | -25.42 | -50.85 | -5.98 | -20.22 | -24.26 | -40.94 | -17.69 | -32.10 |
The above results are from the 8 months (Jun 24-Jan 25) of the 2024 Low Drawdown set which was only added to TippingSports on June 1st 2024. The TippingSports account then switched to the 2025 low drawdown set on Feb 4th.
This is an interesting analysis because it is a losing period. We see WNLC (-16) beats level stakes (-21) and the MDD bank NLC (-46). The MDD bank’s 50 units was based on the -33 unit MDD x1.5.
The LC% versions do worse since they bet more on losing bets after an initial winning period, WLC% (-29), level stakes % (-23) and the MDD bank LC% (-12).
The one outlier here is Target Profit which makes a profit with NLC of +6 and a smaller loss of -12 for LC%.
Target Profit bets more on lower odds without any tapering for extremely low odds, so it is likely that in this period there were more low odds winners which led to Target Profit doing so well.
Would I switch to Target Profit? No, because Whitaker staking is a better version of Target Profit staking since it does not bet dangerously large amounts on the super low odds. With Target Profit, we still need to know the MDD of the set and guess if betting to win 2% each time is sustainable. 2% is my default setting for Target Profit.
I still think Whitaker staking is a better general staking plan to use.
BGS Draw System A1 opposite odds FT draw
1 Unit Stakes | 200 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 2 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/2000 | 1% Staking | 200 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 2 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/2000 | |
Final Total | 102.00 | 51.00 | 87.00 | 119.00 | 123.00 | 48.00 | 103.00 | 143.00 |
High | 105.56 | 52.78 | 90.43 | 123.60 | 132.68 | 49.21 | 113.20 | 161.49 |
Low | -32.21 | -16.10 | -28.61 | -38.82 | -32.07 | -15.96 | -28.30 | -37.82 |
For the BGS Draw System A1 opposite odds FT draw bot, there is no data from TippingSports since it only registers current odds, not opposite odds. So this data is taken from my BFBM strategy with market settings of 51m/4t/115%.
WNLC (119) beats level stakes (102) and WLC% (143) beats Level stakes % (103).
It is this kind of staking analysis that made me recommended the WNLC/LC% split bank.
Target Profit and MDD bank don’t fare as well in this case.
It is important to note a lot of bump and losing periods with a few periods of big jumps. This has been my experience with value betting. It comes in fits and spurts. You have to stick in through the painful months to be there for the big jump months.
BGS Draw System A2 current odds FT draw
1 Unit Stakes | 200 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 2 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/5000 | 1% Staking | 200 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 2 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/5000 | |
Final Total | -101.00 | -50.00 | -87.00 | -106.00 | -79.00 | -46.00 | -74.00 | -83.00 |
High | 54.30 | 27.15 | 48.52 | 58.94 | 35.11 | 28.51 | 31.69 | 33.08 |
Low | -136.56 | -68.28 | -119.31 | -145.48 | -84.60 | -74.27 | -80.39 | -87.58 |
This BGS Draw System A2 current odds FT draw bot data does come from TippingSports. This one is interesting because it is a long losing run of 5,660 bets! But my BFBM recorded results on Sim PC and real mode VPS all show profit!
If I look at just the last month.
My original bot shows +34 units,
My Tip Sending bot shows +22.6 units.
The TippingSports account shows +2.8 units.
My tip receiving bot with no market conditions shows +20.2 units.
My main bank bot shows +41.58 points with WNLC staking.
Note that TippingSports results are calculated with BSP (Betfair Starting Price) when available or the last valid price available before KO, and then with a 4% commission taken off.
The differences are surprising.
I analyse all this data in closer detail below in section 5.
With the data above form TippingSports, the WNL bank goes bankrupt with -106 points after 5,660 bets. Whitaker staking does not prevent bankruptcy, it just means that there is a just a 13% chance of going bankrupt if the trend repeats itself.
I am still sticking with WNLC staking instead of MDD unit banks though because I do not know the MDD in advance for BSG Draw bots.
BSG1 0-0 FT
1 Unit Stakes | 200 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 1 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/2500 | 1% Staking | 200 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 1 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/2500 | |
Final Total | 185.00 | 92.00 | 25.00 | 77.00 | 146.00 | 83.00 | 27.00 | 86.00 |
High | 211.11 | 105.56 | 28.92 | 86.87 | 272.00 | 92.55 | 31.32 | 105.50 |
Low | -8.00 | -4.00 | -1.08 | -3.22 | -33.27 | -4.04 | -1.07 | -3.18 |
The level stakes results seem to win for the BSG1 0-0 FT TippingSports results, but we cannot use 1 unit stakes in reality since this trend has had a MDD of -120 units in the past, so we must use a 200 MDD unit bank at minimum. There we see similar results to WNLC and WLC%. I think the 1% Target Profit staking might be a bit aggressive, but it is possible to use it since 0-0 bets are always quite high odds and won’t have any worry of big stakes on low odds.
Again, when we don’t know the drawdowns of a bot or if we have mixed high and low odds, then I think Whitaker staking is better.
BSG2 FT 0-0
1 Unit Stakes | 300 Unit MDD Bank NLC | Target Profit 1 NLC | Whitaker Staking NLC 4/2500 | 1% Staking | 300 Unit MDD Bank % | Target Profit 1 % | Whitaker Staking % 4/2500 | |
Final Total | 101.00 | 33.00 | 12.00 | 37.00 | -53.00 | 37.00 | 11.00 | 27.00 |
High | 164.17 | 54.72 | 16.70 | 50.46 | 220.84 | 53.82 | 16.56 | 45.96 |
Low | -37.97 | -12.66 | -1.83 | -5.76 | -83.61 | -7.98 | -2.92 | -14.90 |
The BSG2 FT 0-0 TippingSports account shows profit, but if I look at just the last month.
My original bot shows -53 units,
My Tip Sending bot shows +57 units.
The TippingSports account shows +66 units.
My tip receiving bot with no market conditions shows +33 units.
My main bank bot shows +12 points with WNLC staking.
The differences are confusing, and I again analyse them in detail below in section 5.
But with the data set from TippingSports level stakes seems to do best but I know from experience that this trend has a MDD of -220, so it would need a MDD unit bank of 300 at minimum and those level stakes results should be divided by 3, in which case Witaker staking and MDD unit banks get similar results.
Again, when we don’t know the MDD or the characteristics of a betting system, then Whitaker staking is better since it estimates the possible drawdowns based on the odds implied win rates of each bet.
In overall conclusion, I stick with my recommendation of Whitaker Staking, but I am going to switch to only WNLC until I get some solid profit from the next few months.
For Betaminic strategies, we do know the MDD and we could run MDD unit based banks instead of Whitaker Staking. But I feel it is easier to just use Whitaker NLC for consistency.
5 Changes to Bot Set and BSG System
Separating the systems
I think it is important to see the 3 systems as different and apply different settings to them that reflect their characteristics.
Betaminic back strategies are based on Pinnacle closing odds and they should be able to make profit on Betfair Exchange with default or strict market conditions. Picks get sent from Betaminic to our BFBM and we can bet directly on them with few missed bets.
Betaminic lay strategies are a new experimental area and the best settings are not obvious. Current data is suggesting that laying near kick-off is best. Picks get sent from Betaminic to our BFBM and we can bet directly on them with few missed bets.
BSG draw system strategies are based on my original test bots that are based on the Betfair 1st back prices and the liquidity available on those prices varies by market. Picks get found by my “Bet sending” bots that send the tips to TippingSports. Those tips then get sent to your BFBM software and then bet on by the pick receiving and main bots. If a pick qualifies as a selection close to kick-off, then there is a chance that there is not enough time for the tip to get to TippingSports and back to your software. To have the best chance of catching the BSG draw trend, I think sticking to the main markets like Match Odds and Correct Score will be better, and also to use settings as close as possible to the most successful original bots.
In the new bot set, I will completely separate these systems so that it is clear they perform and function differently.
If one system seems to be performing badly, it does not mean the whole system is broken.
BSG Draw Bots
I have taken my existing Group 1 and 2 bots and re-grouped them into their own “BSG Draws Group”.
2 New Group 3 bots have been added with a 2k bank for the A2 FT draw and A6 FT 0-0 trends.
I hope they have another +56 points month and make +1k GBP on a 2k bank.
The Group 3 main betting bots are using a 2k bank with Whitaker NLC staking.
The A1.02 bot market settings are 59m/103%/4t
The A1.06 bot market settings are 32m/4t with no overround rule.
The set includes some trends for monitoring that are not used in the Group 3 main bank. (BSG1 FT draw opposite price, BSG1 HT U0.5 goals, BSG2 FT 0-0) You can run these for monitoring or your own tests, or leave them switched off.
Betaminic Lay Strategy
There is only one strategy in this set, but I have kept it as a Group 1,2,3 style for consistency.
The Group 3 main betting bot is using a 2k bank with Whitaker NLC staking.
The BML 3.01 bot market settings are 5m/15%/85%.
I hope this has another +16 point month and makes +320 on a 2k bank.
Betaminic back strategies
I know people don’t really like big sets, but I think it is necessary to see how each of the strategies we are following are performing.
In the short term there will be reds and greens, but as time goes on, they should mostly become green, and we are planning to follow each individual strategy until it hits 1000 bets, not 1000 Betaminic picks, but 1000 picks of each strategy. Some strategies will reach the 1000 mark faster than others, and that is how we judge their performance and if we want to keep them in.
I hope this has another +42 point month and makes +840 on a 2k bank.
Group 1 Tip Receiving bots for each strategy
0.10 GBP bets from 59m with no market conditions
Group 2 Whitaker NLC Tracker Bots for each strategy
100 GBP WNLC banks
Bot market settings are 40m/115%/4t
Group 3 Whitaker NLC Main Betting Bot
2k GBP WNLC bank
Bot market settings are 45m/115%/4t
Group 4 System Tracker Bots
Here you can edit the banks for real mode or use them as they are in simulation mode.
These Group 4 bots are for people who want to know how the different sets are doing.
10 GBP level stakes bots
1k GBP WNLC bank bots
Bot market settings are 45m/115%/4t
I hope all together the 3 systems have a good month and double the bank for us.
Get the 2025-3-10 Bots Sets
Subscribers to my BFBM Support service have already received the new bot sets.
If you have not, email me at BettingSystemsGuide@gmail.com.
If you want to subscriber and get the sets, then get a subscription here:
https://bettingsystemsguide.com/product/bsg-it-support-1-month/
1 month subscription – £100
3 month subscription – £270 (10% discount: £90 per month)
6 month subscription – £480 (20% discount: £80 per month)
12 month subscription – £840 (30% discount: £70 per month)
A basic bot set can be downloaded here:
5 Best bot settings post-mortems Why didn’t I double my bank this month?
Here is the complicated stuff.
I have quite a few different bots running.
- Original test bots
- Selection finding bots for sending to TippingSports
- The TippingSports account website results themselves
- Tip receiving bots from TippingSports tips and Betaminic picks
- Tracker bots
- Main betting bots
- User bot sets running on their VPS/PCs
And the problem I have is that some of them match and some of them don’t.
The general sense is that all these systems work, but somehow my bank does not seem to be going up as much as expected.
This is all driving me nuts and giving me data overload.
So, I actually took 2 days off work this week to sit down and go through my data to find out what was going on.
1 The BSG Draw System
For this system,
I researched it with my “original bots” with market settings 103%/4t/32m
I setup “Bet sender” bots to send selections to TippingSports with market settings 103%/4t/59m to give them more time to be sent on to followers.
A “TippingSports account” then logs those result with market settings 115%/15%/1m taking off 4% commission.
I then have “tip receiving bots” that get those TippingSports selections coming back, these are so that I can try to copy what results followers get. Those bots have no market conditions and can bet from 59m.
Then there is the “WNLC bot” with a 100 GBP bank that tracks the results individually of strategies with market settings of 30m/4t.
I put all those results into excel for the last month to see where the differences were most pronounced.
They all have different bet numbers, yields and profit.
The original bot shows 678 bets and 34 units profit this month, but the tip sending bot shows MORE bets, 908 bets and 22 units profit! Where do those extra bets come from? They have the same market settings, except that the tip sender starts form 59m before KO. It has an extra 27 minutes. But is that enough to justify another 231 bets? And those bets included more losers, giving it a lower ROI.
BUT then the TippingSports website only registered 726 bets and 2.8 units profit! Why? Is the 4% commission doing this? No, it is the lower win rate and the commission acting together I think. Why did it not register all the bets? Well, TippingSports has a limit of 30 points per day, and with my account tipping 0.5 points per bet, it means only 60 tips can be registered per day. So there may have been days when there were more than 60 bets. To fix that, I would need an account posting tips with 0.25 points per tip, allowing 120 tips per day.
You can follow that account here if you want.
bsgDrawSys0_25 https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/10106
And then I see that my BFBM tip receiving bot only bet on 474 of the 726 registered TippingSports tips. Why??
I can only guess here that maybe the tips were sent too late. That the 103%/4t market conditions only got met around 7m before KO, and then the bet got sent to TippingSports, but my BFBM software did not manage to download the tip in time!
A possible solution is change my tip refresh time to every 1 minute instead of every 3 minute.
BUT BUT BUT my WNLC tracking bot actually bet on 630 of the 726 TippingSports tips! What? Why? How?
Well, the tip receiving bot uses the “bet on imported tips” rule in the staking tab.
But the WNLC tracking bot uses the “bet only on markets for which tips are imported” rule in the market conditions tab.
That is the only difference.
This suggests that maybe, BFBM works faster with the “bet only on markets for which tips are imported” rule and manged to get its bets on. Or it could be some other reason.
When I first saw this, it just made my head explode. 5 different sources of data, all slightly different.
But in the end, the WNLC bot still made +41 points of profit. That would be +410 on a 1k bank and +820 on a 2k bank. That is what I want!
So even with the current setup, we could have got that last month.
My changes based on this is the new TippingSports 0.25 point account, changing my TippingSports tip refresh time and also to take note of the successful bot’s market settings of 32m/4t/ no overround rule.
For the opposite odds bot, there are no tip sent via TippingSports specifically for this one, but instead it is triggered by the same imported tips as the above A2 bot.
For this one, we see fewer bets than the original bot achieved, which makes me thinks it is difficult to duplicate this one as a shared bot. Opposite odds are also harder for everyone to get and there will be less liquidity I think. So I will drop trying to use this one as a public strategy.
The BSG1 FT 0-0 bot has the highest yield of all the BSG bots, so I really want this one to work as a shared strategy.
The original bot made 527 bets with 9% ROI, and the tip sender managed to find 726 bets with a 5.85% ROI. Are those extra 27 minutes that significant?
The TippingSports account only registered 573 of those 726 bets sent. It is probably the same problem as the A2 bot. So I will create another account for this one, too, also with 0.25 point tips.
bsgZeroZero025 https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/10107
For the above WNLC bot, it actually places fewer bets than the tip receiving bot on this occasion. Why? Maybe the 4-tick market condition rule was stopping bets. I am not sure.
But the good news with all of the above bots is that they all had ROIs above 5%. That makes this bot still the strongest expression of the BSG draw trend.
The HT under 0.5 goals bot also gets its trigger from the above FT 0-0 bot.
This tip receiving bot that is triggered by the BSG1 FT 0-0 tips inexplicably gets more bets than the original bot and with +52 units profit versus the original bot’s -9 units.
These extra bets may have come because of the lack of market conditions.
When the WNLC bot tries to bet, it gets similar results to the original bot in that it did not make much profit.
Maybe the HT under 0.5 goals market is too illiquid to be reliable. So this one probably does not share well either.
I think it is an example of a market whose value can be squeezed out quickly by big banks all betting at the same time on it.
If you want to run it without market conditions triggered by the BSG1 FT 0-0 tips, that is up to you.
The BSG2 0-0 FT bot had seemed like a winner, but had a really bad run of 1000 bets without profit.
It also has problems where the TippingSports account registers fewer bets than were sent but not by many.
The headache inducing mystery is how the 610 bets of the original bot made a -53 loss while the bet sending bot made +57 units profit with 769 bets. Again, they have the same settings, but the second one starts betting from 59m.
The TippingSports account also show +66 units for that time period, and the tip receiving bot got +33 units profit.
The WNLC managed to get n most of the possible bets, and got a +12 points profit. That is fine because since the 0-0 bets are high odds, the WNLC bot will be betting smaller stakes than the levels stakes bots.
The long term results for this bot on 3 of the 5 bots are all loss making after over 1000 bets, so I will not publicly recommend this one. Subscribers are welcome to keep following it if they have their own ideas that they want to try with it.
For the Betaminic back system we get tips direct form Betaminic, so it is less complicated.
From the bots available it seems that 45m/1t/103% gets much better results than 5m/15%/115% market settings, but it cuts out a lot of bets which risks the luck of which you get your bets matched on.
For the various tracker bots, 45m/4t/115% does a fine job of getting good results. So I will use this setting with my Betaminic back bots.
All the sets did well, and it is nice to see the x34 set doing the best. I hope we can get +42 points next month.
The lay bots are a different kind of strategy, and for them, 5m/15%/85% market settings have performed best.
Based on all that analysis, I changed the bot set to the current one, which I will NOT be touching at all for the next month. I promise.
6 Betaminic and BSG Draw Strategy List
The Strategies
The strategies remain the same.
If you are not following these, please click on each link and follow the Betaminic strategy.
1.The Betaminic Back bets System (x34 Betaminic strategies)
- 2023 Colossus 01 Home Dog V2 All Leagues https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1177204
2. A 8 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1270222
3. A 9 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1270227
4. AH +0 Away https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1131441
5. BANKER?? https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/953067
6. Big vs Good – Top Leagues https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/16905
7. championnat nul d6 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/950516
8. Colossus 01 Home Dog https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/6409
9. Contend UD https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/205916
10. e2 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/11086
11. Empate Equipos igualados https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/924392
12. Golden6.6 – Draws are in late 2.0 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/641160
13. Losers Find Win https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/946649
14. M2 B + https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/453326
15. Missing Draws – Top Leagues https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/19890
16. No Draws Medium Streak https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/595299
17. No Draws Medium Streak – Both Teams https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/17404
18. nul x a https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1014450
19. OVER 2. https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/949913
20. Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1) https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/138773
21. Tipstar 203 Away Wins https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1275260
22. UNDER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJİ https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/12914
23. ZA101 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1273739
24. TOM WHITAKER HD4 Very Poor Home part 1 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/735806
25. TW ProHome V3 BFBM https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1380046
26. TOM WHITAKER BSG 11 Home Chance https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/619693
27. TW Score Draw https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/760386
28. We can Win https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/992704
29. Contend UD 1.3 https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1304992
30. Vitória do mandante com dos alta https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/614535
31. Pro6 Against the Trend Overs v2 (Updated 2020-07-15) https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/276547
32. Funger Over 2,5 – 1 (Use Funger Overs BFBM) https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1028173
33. Colossus 05 Against the Trend Overs AL (Updated 2020-07-04) https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/263780
34. Draw, both teams scored https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/10366
- The Betaminic Lay bets System (x1 Betaminic strategy)
2024 BSG16 LAY the draw Betfair Exchange LAY STRATEGY https://www.betaminic.com/system/strategy/details/1308246
- The BSG Draw System (x2 bots)
BSG1 FT Draw “bsgDrawSys0_25” https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/10106
BSG1 FT 0-0 Correct Score “bsgZeroZero025” https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/10107
Optional account if you want to run tests with it.
BSG2 FT 0-0 Correct Score “bsg2ZeroZero” https://www.tippingsports.com/en/profile/9801
7 PC Performance – I upgraded my VPS from 4BG to 8GB
I finally upgraded my VPS from
S-SSD 2 2vCPU 4GB RAM 20 GBP per month
To
M-SSD 3 4vCPU 8GB RAM 30 GBP per month
And things are running much smoother now.
I think the SSD with 4GB RAM was just not enough to run things smoothly.
Before
VPS with BFBM
x98 bots
55/4471 loaded markets monitored
95% memory used
After
VPS with BFBM
x162 bots
75/2943 loaded markets monitored
69% memory used
8 Detailed Results
Tom’s Custom Bot Set for BSG Subscribers https://bettingsystemsguide.com/product/bsg-it-support-1-month/
Last month I sent out a new bot set (V7) to my subscribers around Feb 8th. I then panicked after I had emails from people feeling like the new V7 set had missed out on some bets from a very profitable weekend, and so I sent out other options including another new set (V8).
I was said in my email that I was going to stick with V7, and gave the option of V8 and other variations such as just using the Low Drawdown set of 9 with level stakes, but I also ran the V8 as a separate set myself since I wanted to see how it did. Some people kept the V7, some switched to V8 and some people switched to the LowDrawdown9 on level stakes.
In the end the V7 set did much better for the period Feb 20th to Mar 10th when the two bots sets ran together V7 got +445 with a 1k bank (+44%), V8 got +296 with a 2k bank (+15%), and LowDrawdown9 level stakes got +531 with a 3k bank (+17%). But since some users made less profit using the V8 set, I am going to use that as my official results for this month. I think my website results should reflect the P/L of following my advice.
So
+315 for the V7 set from Feb 13th to Mar 10th.
+164 for switching from the V7 to V8 set on Feb 20th over the same Feb 13th to Mar 10th period.
V7/V8 Sets
V7 Set
Tom’s 2025 Bot Set V6
This set beat both the V7 and V8 sets.
Tom’s Standard Bot Set
Free for download on https://bettingsystemsguide.com/start-now/
The Betaminic strategy default settings bot also made profit in this month.
Single System Screenshots of Tracker Sets
BSG Draw System Sets
The long term BSG1 results are strong though, so I still think I have a real value trend here.
Low Drawdown Set of 9
It is very odd this set made a -2 unit loss this month since even TippingSports shows +1 units profit.
These £100 Level Stakes bots bet with a 50 unit bank (5k bank) from Oct 1st, Nov 1st, Dec 2nd, Jan 3rd respectively.
You can see the unit profits and loss.
-2 units in the last month, but TippingSports shows +1 unit.
Oct 1st 2024 to Feb 4th 2025
The “LowDrawdown set of 9” V3 that this set gets trigger picks from is currently just these 7 strategies.
- 2023 Colossus 01 Home Dog V2 All Leagues
- BANKER??
- e2
- Losers find win
- OVER 2.
- Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1)
- UNDER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJİ
2025-2-4 changed to 2025 Betamininc Best 9 Low Drawdown Strategies for 2025 set but no AH strategy.
- Colossus 01 Home Dog
- TOM WHITAKER HD4 Very Poor Home part 1
- TOM WHITAKER BDHY Pro-Home V2 (Re-Engineered “Pro-Home ” by Louisbang) (BD100HY5 RP6 TP2)
- Sayar’s Under 2.5 (A1)
- UNDER MİN 2 YENİ STRATEJİ
- OVER 2.
- e2
- TOM WHITAKER BSG 11 Home Chance
not included (AH +0 Away)
Contend UD
BSG16 lay strategy
Tennis Bets
How did each system from the old set do from February 12th 2025 to March 10th 2025 on Whitaker NLC Staking?
If anyone was wondering what happened with the old 2024 set, it had a good month with +38 points of a 1k bank.
User’s Mixed Set Trackers
When possible, I try to track the results of some of my followers in their first weeks to see if we get similar results. |
I wanted to share these bot sets to show that you do not have to do exactly the same thing as me. You can just choose the systems that you like the look of and also the staking plans that make sense to you. Each of the users above have made their own decisions on how to use the data available. I helped them set it up on the BFBM and then track it to compare notes if I am following similar strategies. I bought a new simulation desktop PC with 8 GB of RAM instead of 4 GB and also an i5 core instead of an i3 core and I have noticed a big improvement in my BFBM’s ability to handle 200 bots run in simulation mode which has enabled me to track more users’ sets until we are happy they are working fine. If you also want help setting up bots on your BFBM, please let me know at BettingSystemsGuide@gmail.com .
9 Support
BSG-BFBM IT Support Subscribers
BSG Subscribers will receive a custom bot set for their bank size, with the best price settings based on my current knowledge and research results.
I will customize your bot set as you want it. (Bank size, staking settings, market conditions, etc.)
I will explain any questions you may have about the bot set.
I will help you to make any bot sets that you are trying to develop.
Buy a subscription https://bettingsystemsguide.com/product/bsg-it-support-1-month/
and email me BettingSystemsGuide@gmail.com to let me know what kind of bot set you want.
1 month subscription – £100
3 month subscription – £270 (10% discount: £90 per month)
6 month subscription – £480 (20% discount: £80 per month)
12 month subscription – £840 (30% discount: £70 per month)
Non-BSG Subscribers
Others can download my standard bot set with the default settings and a default Time to Bet that you can edit yourself.
A basic bot set can be downloaded here:
https://bettingsystemsguide.com/start-now/
The basic bot set should also work fine and make profit. You can use it as it is or edit it yourself.
The BSG custom best price settings bot set is really quite complicated and needs quite a lot of ongoing support to explain and answer questions about it. There is a chance to make many mistakes with it if used without guidance, so for that level of support, please become a BSG-BFBM IT Support Subscriber.
So non-BSG subscribers can get the standard bot set with default settings, then read my newsletters, read my blog posts, watch my videos, read the BFBM manual and edit the bots yourself based on your understanding of what is best.
Best regards,
Tom
Useful Links:
1 My Betting Advice Site: www.bettingsystemsguide.com
2 Betaminic big data betting strategies: http://www.betaminic.com/?ref=TomW (Can be automated)
3 Reddit Betaminic Community: https://www.reddit.com/r/AutomatedBettingBots/
4 My YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PR_cqotGb8
Pro Betting Tools
1 Bf Bot Manager automated betting software for Betfair
2 IPT In Play Trading Data add-on for Bf Bot Manager – Get all the livescores for all the Betfair in-play football games.
3 HedgerPro Horse racing backtesting database (Horse racing version of Betaminic) Use “HPBSG” code for 5% discount at checkout.
4 Pre Match Trading service: sports price mismatches for pre-match profit trading.
5 The Staking Machine staking analysis software
6 VPN services: TunnelBear offer a free VPN with no time limit (2GB per month limit). Paid VPNs are available with more bandwidth. Useful for accessing BetInAsia or AsianConnect.
7 VPS: I use SimplyHosting for my VPS that hosts my Bf Bot Manager software.
8 TippingSports for 3rd party verified tipsters that can be easily automated with a Betfair account.
Affiliate Link Disclaimer: I may receive commission for purchases made via my affiliate links. I have used all these services myself and I do not recommend anything that I have not used myself. I can offer support and answer your questions about these services because of this experience. If you do decide to use any of these services, then clicking through my links is an easy way to say thanks for me introducing you to it.