+43% increase on profits from getting just 1-tick better odds
A long time ago I wrote an article saying that getting just 1-tick could improve results a lot, and my recent bot efforts have been trying to get the best prices possible. Recently I had an email from a Betaminic user saying that he was getting better results than my bots from manual betting because he could shop around for the best odds, and that I should reconsider the whole manual betting thing.
Manual vs Automated betting
I am a big fan of automated betting because it does everything for me and logs the bets nicely on my PC so that I can see everything clearly. I don’t have to worry about checking my emails for bets, placing the bets, and then logging the bets. I know that bots may not pace bets at the most efficient price every time, but I was happy to trade that for the convenience of being able to run lots of systems automatically. Some of my systems are low volume and could be run manually, but a lot of my systems are medium to high volume and I could not run them all manually without spending a lot more time on my PC. I also discovered some of my systems through automation software, so it is necessary for those.
But, for my low volume, low drawdown strategies that could be run manually without too much problem, how much am I missing out on?
+43% increase on profits from getting just 1-tick better odds over 12 months
I ran a test in Excel with the Betaminic Jan-Dec 2024 results of the 9 strategies in their Low Drawdown set for 2025 that I am following now.
For Whitaker LC% staking, getting just 1-tick better odds resulted in a 43% increase on profits for the Low Drawdown set.
Those initial prices are based on Pinnacle closing odds, which are often regarded as the lowest on the market and easily available at Asian bookies. Betting Exchanges should offer better odds. And betting agents or soft bookies can offer even better odds.
So I am wondering how good are the odds I am getting with my betting bots, and should I be making the effort with at least the Low Drawdown set to bet manually and compare prices. The LD9 set only has 73 bets per month on average, which is easily doable.
Shopping around for odds
If you are betting manually, then you can check odds comparison websites like https://www.oddschecker.com/
And you can check through the bookies you have accounts with.
Sportsbook Aggregator Tools
Another method is to use a “sportsbook aggregator” tool that some betting agents offer. The sportsbook aggregator tools combine the odds of all the available bookies and exchanges for that betting agent so you can see the top price on once screen and can split your stake among the top prices and liquidity available at the available sportsbooks in one click. If you live in the UK, then you will have a wide range of soft bookies to choose from. I have already had my account closed by Bet365, which I take as a compliment really. And due to my non-UK country of residence, my soft bookie options are limited, so I use betting agents or exchanges. The sportsbook aggregators offered by betting agents are really useful. The biggest issue with betting agents is trust.
I am currently using PremiumTradings “GoalTool” sportsbook aggregator which is one of the few betting agents to have a positive score of 4+ on TrustPilot. It was recommended to me by one of our Reddit community who says it has a good aggregator, good customer service and let’s in residents of a very wide range of countries. If in doubt, just ask them if your country is allowed. (But no US residents of course! No one can serve them except US bookies.)
Their sportsbook aggregator tool has odds from Maxbet, Pinnacle, 18betasia, BetISN, CITIbet, Singbet, 1bet, FairExchange and Babibet.
Better Odds
I’ve just recently joined up and am till checking it out, but a quick comparison of odds for tonight’s Japan v Bahrain game showed the GoalTool offering the best odds for me.
GoalTool 1.095 for Japan to win. You can see in the screenshot how it shows the amount available and all the bookies it is getting odds from.
Pinnacle 1.085 for Japan to win. 0.10 lower than the GoalTool odds.
OddsChecker shows my Bet365 and WilliamHill offer the highest odds of 1.10 for Japan to win. But my Bet365 account was closed, so the 1.095 from GoalTool will do fine. Betfair offers 1.10, but that will be 1.098 after the 2% commission or 1.094 after 6% commission for AUS residents.
So I was surprised that I could get such decent odds from a bet broker. I thought they would all be similar to Pinnacle odds but with more liquidity.
Manual Betting on the Low Drawdown Set for 2025
My plan is to try and do manual betting with the Low Drawdown set of 9 strategies.
https://www.betaminic.com/betting-strategies/the-best-betting-strategies-for-2025/
It will be a low bet volume, so I should be able to manage it.
One of the dangers for me is looking at the odds screens and putting all my money on one juicy bet like Japan to beat Bahrain. Thankfully they did 2-0.
Anyway, let’s see if betting manually can beat my automated bot results.
I will be using a 100 point bank, betting 3 points per bet since the Low Drawdown set has a MDD of -22. I think it can manage 3 point bets. Updates will be in the newsletter and on reddit.
Check out Premium Tradings Betting Agent here: PremiumTradings
Read about the Betaminic low drawdown set of 9 here: https://www.betaminic.com/betting-strategies/the-best-betting-strategies-for-2025/
